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Not just the great depression but the greatest depression ever in history, I mean the biggest, noone ever caused a bigger depression
The Bigly Depression
You need to extend the graph beyond January. The US has been riding an enormous localized wave that crested shortly after Trump’s inauguration. American securities (particularly the MAG7) are enormously overvalued, with revenue that is dwarfed by their stock price.
This is a much-needed market correction, not a regional stock performance split from within the US.
Not even suggesting Trump isn’t shit. Its very obvious that he’s popped the irrational optimism bubble we’ve been gliding on since even before COVID hit. But we were in a bubble. DOW 43k, never even mind the absurd NASDAQ run up, is not representative of the functional economic capacity of the nation as a whole. Without unlimited free money from the Fed to keep inflating asset prices, we were going to enter a downturn sooner or later.
The real question is whether the DOGE Team will kick the knees out from under our Treasury/Fed countercyclical spending system on the way back to earth and cause us to land harder than necessary.
Absolutely wild to look at this graph and say ‘welp that’s the correction we’ve expected and needed for a long time’ when it is quite clear it’s a reaction to Trump’s totally unnecessary trade war and the uncertainty he is (intentionally?) injecting into markets. There is no reason to expect that if there had been a different President elected, this outcome would have occurred.
The even broader point is that there are a lot of people invested (literally and emotionally) in a continuing bull run. That doesn’t mean it’s a good idea, but suggesting that Trump or even less likely, DOGE have some master understanding of the economy and are doing this for its long-term health is an absolute fantasy.
I doubt they’d do any fiscal spending through safety nets, since they are dismantling them; I suppose bail-outs could be on the table. I’ve seen some analysts/economists claim that the Trump admin wants to devalue the USD to grow the manufacturing sector, and the admin seems to be pressuring the Fed to lower interest rates. The consensus seems to be that stagflation is what’s actually going to happen. I don’t quite understand why the admin wants to bring back manufacturing sector, because they’re typically low-wage jobs (especially if not unionized), and unemployment was pretty low. Among the billionaire class, there seems to be a concerted effort to shed decent-paying jobs, so I guess the plan is for those people to go work on assembly lines.
I am pretty sure trump warns his friends when he is about to make another irrational stupid statement- they are investing accordingly- taking advantage of an upswing and a downturn
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I don’t always agree with them but you make such a compelling argument…
However much pain we’re feeling and will be feeling, as a nation not individuals, we deserve oh so much more for our inhuman crimes in the name of capitalist private profit. We destabilized entire nations trying to become societies solely to maintain access to their resources for our capitalist’s exploitation.
Every American better hope nation state karma doesn’t exist.
Oh fuck off with this “deserves” bs. Everything listed on that infographic happened before I was 18. I don’t “deserve” any of this.
Yeah you do.
We’ve seen your browser history.
You’re screaming “fuck off, I don’t deserve any of this because those thefts were carried out before I was 18”, but you’re screaming that sitting on the stolen furniture in a stolen house. The crimes mentioned predating your eighteenth birthday doesn’t mean shit when you’re still benefiting from the results of those crimes.
If someone gets abducted and put in a stolen house with stolen furniture, are they to blame?
Like, I get it, we enjoy the privileges and share the responsibility to change shit. But responsibility and blame are two different things.
Agreed. The person I was replying to took the initial comment regarding nation karma for the US very personally and started ranting that he didn’t deserve this shit. No one blamed him, and I was trying to convey the same thing that you wrote: it doesn’t matter that we were not personally responsible for the historical crimes our nations committed, if the current society we live in still bases its wealth on what was stolen. We’d be indirectly benefitting from those crimes and therefore would have a responsibility to acknowledge that and try to do what we can to even things out if and when we can. Rejecting all links to those historical crimes and any responsibility for them can come across as arrogant to those on the other side of that equation, those who were robbed. But the person started hurling insults so I was obviously unable to communicate what I wanted to communicate.
Everyone is benefiting and being hurt by decisions made in the past or decisions that they cannot control. These are meaningless statements. They don’t cause action, they don’t make people feel like they should do something. They just annoy people. The statements are ignorant. You have no idea who I am, what I do, how I live, etc.
So you can also respectfully fuck off as well.
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I’m still waiting people understand that the way Trump treat Zelensky isn’t new in any way, most people are just aware of it now because it happened in Europe.
relax, dude
Let’s call it the Trump Effect, shall we?
Let’s call it the Trump Slump
Maybe Trump’s tiny Dow size?
To be fair, showing no historical correlation and just assuming the problem or separation started this year because it’s specifically indexed to the start of the year, is garbage math. Like, you got the correct answer, but you did the problem completely wrong.
Is there any chance for a future where the economy that matters, real people’s lives, production of useful goods and services, becomes decoupled from imaginary evaluations of billionaire’s gambling results? It really rustles my jimmies when I hear that a result of some banksters bet can get working families evicted and jobs dissapear.
Easy, do not have billionaires…
Um no? Have you been paying attention, at all?
So the boycott is working? Let it continue.
Honestly, I did not think it would work!
What are you boycotting?
Completely cut out all US food/drinks, other stuff it varies a bit but making an effort to avoid US stuff where practical.
is america great again yet? I think not.
Make America Great (Depression) Again?
They just need to try harder.
If they pulled themselves up by their bootstraps, they’d be set for life.
What ever could the problem be? Tariffs! No tariffs. Tariffs! No tariffs … well some, maybe. Tariffs! Delayed tariffs … delayed tariffs again.
This is why Warren buffet pivoted to cash liquid position.
That guy pours over countless documents and stats to make his moves. He probably knows what he’s doing more than most when it comes to predicting market turns.
I mean I feel like a recession is inevitable, but I’m just some random guy.
It absolutely is. I’ve sensed it coming for years now. Gen Y and Gen Z have been struggling under student loan debt. Car loans are getting years longer. People were micro-financing weddings and vacations. Now services like “Klarna” and Afterpay are just repackaged credit card debt.
The majority of people in America can not survive. College degrees aren’t enough to find a job, and raises/bonuses are non-existent. Most people are working for minimum wage, and that minimum wage is stagnant. If you had real estate or stocks, the boom in the housing and financial sector could offset this pressure, but with the majority of property getting swept up by large hedge funds, there’s no room for average Americans to get their foot in the door with a mortgage.
So what do people do? They stop buying. It’s the same market-stagnation effect that deflation has, only with all the micro-economic stress that inflation creates. It happened before in 1929. It’s happening again. Because America allowed itself to slip back into the capitalist trends that created the previous Gilded Age.
This is what happens when your president is a used car salesman.
You know if you just use a sharpie to draw the line going up instead of down there isn’t a problem anymore.
USA is making itself weak and Canada + Europe strong.
Oh no, better double down on the cuntishness, fire all the workers and give ourselves an enormous bonus!
Everyone with ETFs targeting US stocks sweating right now
