• zbyte64@awful.systems
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      5 months ago

      What does Bush Jr have to do with this? More seriously, Are you going to publish this somewhere?

      • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        So Bush Jr. had the lowest approval rating for a president that won a second term. He ended his second term with one of the lowest approval rating of any president of all time (just a short and curly ahead of Nixon).

        Some detail:

        Including George W. Bush

        Approval Shifts:
            Mean Shift: 1.91%
            Standard Deviation: 10.53%
        Winning Candidates' Approval Ratings:
            Mean Approval Rating: 50.73%
            Standard Deviation: 11.14%
        

        Excluding George W. Bush

        Approval Shifts:
            Mean Shift: 3.60%
            Standard Deviation: 9.40%
        Winning Candidates' Approval Ratings:
            Mean Approval Rating: 56.35%
            Standard Deviation: 4.31%
        

        Notice how the standard deviation associated with the winning candidate tightens up significantly with out Bush?

        I do publish the results of these analyses, here, on lemmy. However, I just have a day job that has prevented me from doing “the rest” of this analysis. This is only one part of a larger analysis I have planned.

        Here are the two distributions: