I’m wondering what everyone else thinks is in our future as Canadians?

Do we think Trump is going to be stupid enough to try to invade Canada or redraw border lines?

Will the trade war continue for years or will Trump wuss out like last time?

We we continue to buy US products after they’ve now screwed us a second time?

I know I’m in the camp that whatever happens, I’m planning on completely excluding the USA from my life as much as possible.

  • Voroxpete@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    12
    ·
    edit-2
    22 hours ago

    The strategic situation favors the US immensely, with all our cities situated directly on the border. There’s basically no way to mount any kind of serious defence of Canada. Every city, almost every strategically valuable location, would be lost in days.

    But our nation is superbly suited to guerilla warfare, with our vast forests providing excellent cover against aerial and satellite observation, and the CAF is superbly good at fighting against superior numbers and firepower because they train around the assumption that they will be fighting an enemy that outclasses them in equipment and numbers. Manuever warfare, hit and run strikes and defeat in detail are core to CAF tactics, and they know how to fight in ways that maximize their impact while minimizing losses.

    They’re also very, very good at what they do. Canadians routinely demolish Americans in wargames and training operations. Our training standards are much higher and it bears results. This isn’t much help against the sheer scale of the American military; a holding action like the one Ukraine is putting up against Russia would be functionally impossible. But a guerilla war would make the Americans pay a heavy toll for every day they tried to remain here.

    The US would control the cities, but all of those strategic resources that Trump wants are deeper in the interior and much more vulnerable to hit and run attacks by a determined Canadian military presence, while ordinary resistance fighters would be able to launch terror strikes against vulnerable targets all across the continental US. They would have to place security forces everywhere, while we can choose to strike anywhere. Just the financial and political weight of protecting every state capitol, every senators home, every factory, every distribution centre, every power plant… Hell, every mall and school if we want to go that far… Would be absolutely crushing. How long would the American people put up with going through checkpoints to get to work, being pulled over and searched my soldiers to get to the grocery store, all while watching bombs blow up in their neighbourhoods and their tax dollars get pissed away on the world’s largest and most expensive national security operation? America is swimming in debt and piling on more to give tax breaks to billionaires, and a right wing government has no way to embrace the kind of radical economic thinking that could try to solve those problems. How long could they even sustain an occupation for?

    • BlackSheep@lemmy.ca
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      15 hours ago

      A question from someone who knows nothing about warfare… As a commonwealth country, could we expect support?

      • Voroxpete@sh.itjust.works
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        11 hours ago

        We have allies in the Commonwealth, in NATO and in the EU. But it’s really an open question if any of them would willingly defy the US to support us. I’d like to hope so.

        Unfortunately, any support would be largely meaningless, mostly consisting of sanctions against the US. The reason being, any military support, even just equipment like we’re sending to Ukraine, has to cross an ocean to get to us. An ocean that would be controlled by the US navy and air force. There’s not a lot anyone can do to counter that.

    • Em Adespoton@lemmy.ca
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      9
      ·
      edit-2
      21 hours ago

      There’s also the fact that Canadians are well trained on all US military equipment, and so would both know what to expect and know how to use anything they captured.

      And US Intelligence is littered with Canadians; Canadians have written a lot of the software and designed a lot of the hardware the US military uses.

      Oh, and in general, Canadians are more highly educated.