☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆

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Cake day: January 18th, 2020

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  • It’s a highly unlikely scenario that Russia would want to expand the war pat Ukraine, and everybody with a functioning brain understands that. What will happen is that Russia will take over all the territory in Ukraine that’s either pro Russian or neutral.

    The rest will be left as a problem for the west to deal with. It’s going to be a dysfunctional rump state that’s not economically self sufficient, and where there will be massive resentment towards the west over the betrayal. If Europe allows it to fall then they will be faced with a new refugee crisis, and if they don’t then it’s an economic black hole that they have to keep pouring money into. Either scenario will only make the already desperate economic situation in Europe even worse than it is now.

    It’s going to be easy for Russia to make deals with individual countries as public unrest in Europe continues to grow. Hungary and Slovakia have already flipped to Russia, it’s likely only a matter of time before Romania, Czech Republic, Germany, and France do as well. At that point we’re looking at the end of EU, and possibly the end of NATO as well. Especially given that the US will almost certainly be pulling back under Trump.







  • Russia/Ukraine war: Russia will get some territory and thats about it, probrally just the Russian majority areas. After that the EU will intimidate Russia to back off.

    How do you imagine the EU will do that exactly? The EU has no military industrial capacity to speak of, it doesn’t have access to cheap energy, and it’s becoming politically unstable. A far more likely scenario here is that the EU starts breaking up, and nationalist parties start realigning their countries towards Russia because the US will leave EU to hang.
















  • Every society puts limit on freedom of speech and expression. There’s nothing unique about China in this regard. What makes you think that the west got this balance fundamentally right while everyone else got it wrong aside from the anchoring bias you experience by virtue of growing up in a particular society? It’s certainly clear that China’s approach results in far more social stability than western approach.

    Also, the fact that you think China centralizes power instead of giving it to the people shows that you don’t actually understand how Chinese system works. I urge you to spend a bit of time educating yourself on a subject you’re stating opinions on here. Here’s a western article for you explaining that Chinese system actually encourages decentralized governance and grassroots organization. https://www.noemamag.com/what-the-west-misunderstands-about-power-in-china/

    Similarly, the government is also organized based on using grassroots structures as its foundation https://news.cgtn.com/event/2021/who-runs-the-cpc/index.html

    Meanwhile, corruption has little to do with centralization. Corruption comes from lack of means to hold people in authority to account. This problem exists within flat structures just as much as it does in centralized ones. In fact, it can be far more pronounced in cases where there are no formal methods for creating power structures https://www.jofreeman.com/joreen/tyranny.htm

    Also, centralization is not at odds with workers owning means of production in any way. That’s a really naive understanding of the problem. For example, you can have cooperative ownership of the industry where the workers are in control of how their workplaces operate, while having central governance structures that direct overall efforts to make sure they align with larger societal goals. These types of structures are necessary in large societies for the same reason complex organisms evolve things like nervous systems and brains. The brain doesn’t micromanage the function of the body, but rather focuses on the high level goals beneficial to the organism as a whole.

    I’m also well familiar with Wolff, and he has lots good ideas. If you actually pay attention to what he says then you’ll see that he views Chinese system quite positively overall.








  • I think the demographic to focus on are the people who are just falling out of liberal mainstream and who haven’t formed strong political opinions of their own. They’ve already come to realize that libs are gaslighting them, and that the system isn’t working on their interest because they see their standard of living collapsing while mainstream media keeps telling them they’re living in the best economy ever. Such people become open to new ideas and can be reasoned with. As the economic collapse continues to progress, the liberal mainstream will necessarily shrink as increasing numbers of people start becoming disillusioned with the system.