Current trajectory estimates are more like +2.5C to +3C by 2100 based on existing policy. We’ve actually managed to move the trajectory downward even though we obviously have a lot to go. Every little bit counts. It is far less binary than this overly simplistic tweet is suggesting

Excessive claims like this end up demotivating people and make them want to give up when we can reduce the damage each time we move our trajectory down by 0.1C

There’s a primary for his now vacant seat this Saturday if anyone here is in that district (VA-11) and wants to avoid a repeat. Special election is in September

There are some progressives running in that primary

Vote in every primary. The establishment can’t fight as hard as they did for Cuomo everywhere. There are lot of primaries across the country that many people don’t even know are happening

For instance, there’s one for the US House seat in VA-11 (Most of Fairfax county + Fairfax City) this Saturday prior to the September special election to replace Gerry Connolly who died from cancer

Overperformance compared to polls and the money stacked against him. He’s not just won the primary*, but won it big. Few polls had him winning. Even the polls that had him winning overall had him losing the first round of ranked choice by a fair margin. He’s just won the 1st round by like 7%

(for reference about the money)

* technically the final rounds of ranked choice aren’t yet tabulated, but it is exceedingly unlikely he given that the person in #3 is a progressive who told his supporters to rank Zohran #2. Cuomo has already conceded

Hope does not mean blind hope. It does not mean you will always win. It means knowing that you can

Always try. No matter how hopeless it seems, you always have the possibility to win a seemingly impossible fight. This a shining example of overcoming and winning big

Giving up is a guaranteed loss. That is what they want us to do. Never give in

Ah yep looks like they updated their title again. Not sure I like that it’s vaguer about it all with no names listed but at least it’s less judgemental

They poured millions and million and massively outspent Zohran and still lost. Zohran had no name recognition, and was virtually a nobody in February. The establishment worked hard against him and still lost. They rolled out shameless endorsement of Cuomo after shameless endorsement (like Bill Clinton, apparently). The establishment didn’t lose for a lack of effort. This could happen anywhere next

He’s also signed paperwork to run as an independent in the general election in case he lost the primary.

“I said he won the primary election,” Cuomo told the outlet. “I said I wanted to look at the numbers and the ranked-choice voting to decide about what to do in the future, because I’m also on an independent line.”

Though he probably expected it to be far closer than this. Zohran massively outperformed polls. No polls had him winning the first round let alone by this much (even the few polls that had Zohran winning)

If they ignore it, the progressives are starting to get ready to take it in the primaries themselves. There’s been an increase in young progressives running for state & local office following these results

(https://bsky.app/profile/amandalitman.bsky.social/post/3lsflzpcjlk2i)

A historically massive over performance of the polls and how the candidate (Lander) who is third on the first round is also a progressive

Few polls had Zohran winning. Even the polling that had Zohran winning had him losing the first round vote by a fair amount and only flipping to win in the 7th round. No polling had him winning the 1st round. He’s just won the first round by like 7% of the vote. He’s not far from 50% of the vote outright on round one

We won’t have the official results from the later ranked choice rounds until July 1st, but just ~60% of Lander’s #2 votes alone would push him above 50% even if all candidates below Lander went 100% Cuomo for #2. Lander cross endorsed Zohran and told his supporters to rank Zohran #2

Can’t change the BBC title, but did edit the title here to remove that now that you point that out

An actual progressive, see https://www.zohranfornyc.com/

Policies ranging from city-owned grocery stores to taxing the rich to making NYC busses free and more

*sigh*

President Trump on Tuesday said Iran was “very close” to having a nuclear weapon, despite March testimony from Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard that Tehran was not building one.

[…]

Driving the news: When pressed on Gabbard’s assessment by reporters aboard Air Force One, Trump replied, “I don’t care what she said. I think they were very close to having” a nuclear weapon.

[…]

Gabbard, during her opening remarks at a House Intelligence Committee hearing in late March, said that “[t]he IC continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon and Supreme leader Khomeini has not authorized the nuclear weapons program that he suspended in 2003.”

https://www.axios.com/2025/06/17/trump-gabbard-iran-nuclear-weapon-testimony

In good news, he has been released now after large push-back but absolutely BS to have arrested him in the first place

If they get him on state charges, only the Minnesota Board of Pardons can do that. Which consists of the Governor Tim Walz (D), Chief Justice of the Minnesota Supreme Court (appointee of Walz), and Minnesota Attorney General (D)

Looking at the Crowd Counting Consortium data it’s a little higher than 2017, but much less than 2025. At 140 days into office Biden’s total was at 8150 (with 1020 of them taking place before he took office)

I believe days into the term which started on Jan 20th. Otherwise we’d be at 160s instead of 140s

This isn’t the first large nationwide protest of his second term and it won’t be the last. For instance, the Hands Off ones in April were number 6 on that list. They’re getting larger and there is already planning for the next nationwide ones. Or more broadly, here’s the cumulative number of protests including smaller ones too

Alt National Park Service’s estimate:

We’re honored to report that over 11 million showed up for today’s No Kings protest, and totals are still coming in. Just… wow. WOW 😮! There’s nothing more to say.

https://bsky.app/profile/altnps.bsky.social/post/3lrmce3muts2c

EDIT: also organizers within 50501 estimate at >11 million (50501 is one of the groups involved in the No Kings protests) https://bsky.app/profile/50501movement.bsky.social/post/3lrmozcmqx223

If you right click on the imgur link and then click “copy video link”, you can make the link more direct. You can use that to embed the video in the body text with ![alt text describing the video](copied video link ending with .mp4)

which will look like