Sprawl has so many extra costs too particularly around transportation. Given council budgets are already severely pressured its hard not to pre-judge that there’ll be at the least a decrease to overall public transport by dilution if not just no services in some areas. So more traffic on local roads which means more emissions and more cost on councils maintaining roads for more cars.
Just to add to that, im not much of an economist or anything but my understanding is there’s 2 main levers that can be used - interest rates (monetary policy?) and tax rates (fiscal policy).
Its become orthodox to use the former & ignore the latter, partly because of voter backlash & it can be a bit complicated. But as far as I understand it given sovereign governments can print money & borrow when things are bad to generate economic activity the flipside would be to tax it back out and save it to reduce the supply of money chasing goods.
Some folks argue that would be a tidier way of doing things, who knows?!
https://www.slowboring.com/p/tax-increases-are-the-best-cure-for https://www.corporateknights.com/category-finance/seven-ways-to-tackle-inflation-without-raising-interest-rates/
If you go read up on the history of central banks using interest rate hikes to generate recessions to tame inflation its pretty damn consistent that they often end up overshooting and making things worse than they needed to be to achieve the same result.
There’s a follow up article on RNZ I think talking about this a bit more. One of the ideas someone had is that it could be great in health because they could use AI chatbots to talk to patients in their own language.
Which would be a great service for sure; but like, translation tools already exist and are likely to be better than anything branded as “AI” comes up with for a long time and there’s always like translation services with humans we could just pay to do it without burning the planet.
That’s what excel is; code for people who don’t know they’re writing code - and its clearly a bad way of doing most of the things people do with it.
But on the flipside you have to give it props for getting people a foot into programming, even if they don’t realise that’s what they’re doing (and folks who use actual languages and lines of text to achieve the same thing don’t accept it for what it kinda is).
I think you could make an argument that Excel is the world’s most used/successful IDE ;)
I’d have to see that in action before I pass judgement but given LLMs predilection for hallucination and the vagaries of how humans report tech faults I would be surprised if it was significantly more accurate or effective than a human. After all if its working out if there’s a known issue then essentially its not much beyond a script at that point and in that case do you want to trade the unpredictability of what an LLM might recommend vs something (human or otherwise) that will follow the script?
Even if an LLM were an effective level 0 helpdesk it would still need to overcome the user’s cultural expectation (in many places) that they can pick up the phone and speak to somebody about their problem. Having done that job a long long time ago, diagnosing tech problems for people who don’t understand tech can be a fairly complex process. You have to work through their lack of understanding, lack of technical language. You sometimes have to pick up on cues in their hesitations, frustrated tone of voice etc.
I’m sure an LLM could synthesis that experience 80% of the time, but depending on the tech you’re dealing with you could be missing some pretty major stuff in the 20%, especially if an LLM gives bad instructions, or closes without raising it etc. So you then need to pay someone to monitor the LLM and watch what its doing - at which point you’ve hired your level 1 tech again anyway.
Its back to the future all over again…
NACTional have been beating the same drums basically the entire time i’ve been a voter; despite every time they implement their ideas it turning out (as the experts have repeatedly told them) that it doesn’t work like they claim it will. Tax cuts to improve the lot of everybody, boot camps to stop youth crime, standardised testing for children - its all the same nonsense over & over again.
They implement it, it doesn’t help anything, and then under a Labour government they remove it & implement what the experts in the field have been suggesting instead.
Testing 5 years olds isn’t got to cost us the $300m hit for not buying ferries so its not the same immediate economic vandalism; but if it helps to ruin the first few years of education for a whole cohort of children that can’t exactly be great for the country in 20 plus years.
2014: https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/ED1409/S00145/government-continues-its-obsession-with-testing-children.htm 2009: https://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/EJ1121909.pdf
The more I see & hear, the more I think its all grift.
Ie the crypto bros left their coins for nfts, and now they’ve tanked they’re finding something else to burn the planet down in order to scam suckers.
“AI” for health is already known to be very problematic, and nobody wants to see a 10 years down the track commission of inquiry about why some women were not diagnosed correctly from their mammograms.
The chatbots Judith is talking about for tutoring children regularly hallucinate and come up with such stupid things as cooking recipes for petrol spaghetti and other reckless trash. Sounds like a fast way to destroy the education of a bunch of children, but all the rich kids will still be in their private schools with low pupil numbers and enjoying private tutors so why would Judith care.
This sort of thing is pretty consistent with the anecdotal rumours about Luxon’s interactions with pilots and other staff while heading up Air NZ. Which sorta pushes those stories from the probably just made up, to actually maybe they are legit after all. Some of the scuttlebutt stories basically alleged he was a total a-hole; which, yeah I can see it.
Or in the case of water services.
I mean a souped up compensator Ford Ranger aint cheap is it!
No 40 days wouldn’t go far at all, but 8 weeks paid before having to chew into annual leave would still help ease the stresses a bit. Of course, im lucky to have that much.
Well put. In a way you could argue that the current government is making changes that will make NZ more like the USA. That may or may not be true, but the implication is that we are currently less like the USA too.
So the things you like about NZ will still be there in some amount, just perhaps just a bit less than it would have been a few years ago. And as you say, governments come & go so in 3, 6, 9 years things can just as readily change the other way again anyway.
And yes its 11 national public holidays, plus 1 provincial public holiday, plus 20 days annual leave for 32 in total, then 10 days sick leave on top for 42 in total. It can get slightly complicated in terms of accruals & entitlements. NZ has a bunch of different leave that may or may not be foreign to a US citizen!:
12 Public holidays - must be taken on the day they happen, or if you can’t you get a day in lieu to take at your leisure. Usually you will want to ensure you use the lieu day before you use any of your annual leave entitlement as the former doesn’t get paid out to you when you cease employment.
Annual Leave - there’s two counts for this, from the date you start working for an employer you begin accruing an annual leave balance, and then 12 months later you become entitled to four weeks of annual leave, and your accrual balance starts again from 0. The difference matters as I think technically the employer only has to allow you to take entitled leave, not accrued; and conversely if they have a customary closedown period then there’s a bunch of different rules about what happens. Typically nowadays most employers (big corporates anyway) will see your annual leave accrual as a liability and will be encouraging you to use it so its pretty rare to have much of an argument about having leave. Both sides have to be reasonable in giving notice and rearranging things to covering when you’re not there.
Sick Leave - this is the 10 days that’s mentioned in this article, like Public holidays sick leave doesn’t get paid out when you leave, and unlike annual leave sick leave doesn’t continue to accrue. So it is each 12 month period of employment that you get a new up to 10 days per year sick leave. Some employers do accrue sick leave as well though - I think my balance caps out at something like 40 days, so good news if I ever get the big C or something I suppose!
Bereavement Leave - you get a minimum of 3 days per bereavement for funerals if its for people in your immediate family, or miscarriages and then there’s a bit of flexibility where you can have another 1 day per bereavement if they’re not immediate family but there’s some specific reasons why you gotta be there responsibility wise.
Parental Leave - im not as up with the play on this one, but its available for both parents, just to differing amounts I think.
Family Violence Leave - employees affected by family violence have the right to up to 10 days of paid leave per year, and can ask for a short term rearrangement of their work schedule.
Other Leave - there’s all sorts of other rules for Jury service, disasters, leave to go vote in an election and some employers have other stuff too like I worked somewhere where you got an extra 2 weeks a year if you represented NZ in a sport (even an obscure one) and were going to an international tournament.
Yeah - but did sick leave ever get the same clarification? The language in the forms I use at work is half day, full day off sick.
But in effect you’re asking for your shift off work - so if a shift is 12 hours then yeah I would think it would be sensible for 12 hours, I just don’t know if sick leave actually gets paid the same way.
Because its definitely not paid out as “days” - in the 24 hour sense. Like if you’re a part timer doing a 4 hour day, I can’t imagine the current law lets you have 20 shifts off right? Its more like “day” in that sense means, times not working due to being sick.
The cynic in me thinks its only so hard for employers to figure out what someone’s leave entitlement is because they account for it as a liability and try to minimise how much anyone can take while maximising the times when they are forced to take it.
I can’t remember now, but wasn’t the context for the law change that shift workers who did 4 days of 12 hours, then 3 days off only getting paid the equivalent of 8 hours when they took a day of leave?
In my experience as a user of payroll software; I suspect its a combination of things.
Developers could customise the logic for New Zealand’s legislation better, but corporations think magically about software and try to buy “out of the box” solutions, even if they don’t quite fit right.
Then they rely on HR staff to try to configure their way around logic limitations so it ends up just as kludgy but in a way more reliant on people knowing why something was done some given way than just in the tool.
I’ve run into stuff you would think is really really simple - like marking the NZ public holidays as not a work day; but if those holidays change - like the addition of Matariki, or you move so you have a new provincial holiday its usually months, years or never that it gets updated.
Yeah I converted mine to the new version - they had a really good guarantee when I bought mine as well which was 10 years, if something breaks send a photo & we’ll send a replacement.
Ive had mine for 10 years and use it daily. Makes pretty good espresso, not as good as a good barista would, but good enough.
https://presso.co.nz/shop/hand-powered-coffee-makers/rok-gc-espresso-maker-silver/
They are pricey given they just do a black coffee and all though.
#1 & #2 does feel like a bit of a gift to the folks who got in some years ago and banked land on the boundaries. Explains why an apple orchard down the road felled all the trees and just left them there - no new grafts or anything; the block got bought by a major property developer who must have seen the chances of either a zoning change or removal of the urban/rural zone coming.
Sprawl typically also means fewer 200+m2 houses on larger blocks of land when looking at opening up public spaces and building denser housing close to public transport is a better solution for long term transport emissions.