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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • They are also the main developers of the Mastodon software. It is not just hosting the service. The software needs to be able to compete with Bluesky and right now it quite simply does not. The only way to get the quality needed is to have some full time lead developers. Also they need some proper admins to run the websites. Mastodon social is at 250,000 active users right now, but it is also fairly likely to grow fast with what Elon is up to with Twitter. Just to compare Twitter used to have 7500 employees, with a 1000 today.













  • Putin has been running massive propaganda about Russia being strong. 800,000 is 1 in 200 Russians. So most Russians will personally know somebody who has died or been badly injured in Putins war. Just imagine what happens when Putin has to explain to them, that the war is lost. Even worse an end of the war, means the military industry being slowed down, which will cause an economic crisis. In other words it is doubtful if Putin can survive loosing the war.






  • Trump has a record of changing his mind within a phone call. Also he is often making threats and then not followed through on them.

    We also already saw the US not sending weapons to Ukraine and although there were problems Ukraine did not collapse. In the mean time Ukraines and Europes arms industry has improved. So if that happens again it probably will be survivable.






  • There are some models for sabaticals, like lower pay and then basically a year of paid vacation. It also includes insurance policies, as there is an obvious incentive to just fire you before you take the time off.

    Also especially for long timeframes, consider FIRE. With a 50% savings rate it takes something like 16.6 years to retire. The idea is to invest into index funds and then live of the income they make aka become a capitalist. However I get why some people might not like that, but especially if you have some wealth from other source that might be a pretty great option. Also the 16.6 years use 4% save withdrawal rate, which has historically worked well, but if you are willing to return to work and take some risk higher withdrawal rates can work as well.

    However companies do not like employees having wealth. It makes them independent and that means negotiating power. So most options probably do not work.